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Exxon, Chevron Earnings Fall Despite Iran War Oil Price Surge

Despite a significant 57% surge in oil prices fueled by the Iran conflict, Exxon Mobil and Chevron reported sharp declines in their first-quarter net incomes, with Exxon falling 45% and Chevron dropping 36%. The primary cause for this downturn was unfavorable financial hedging activity, which was severely impacted by supply disruptions across the Middle East. Exxon detailed losses from both open and closed hedges due to incomplete product deliveries. While the immediate results were negative, both companies indicated that these financial impacts are temporary and expect profitability to return in subsequent quarters. Chevron, however, managed to beat analyst estimates for adjusted earnings per share.

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Exxon, Chevron Earnings Fall Despite Iran War Oil Price Surge

Despite a 57% surge in oil prices driven by the Iran conflict, major U.S. oil companies Exxon Mobil and Chevron reported significant drops in first-quarter profits. The downturn was primarily attributed to unfavorable financial hedging activities impacted by supply disruptions in the Middle East.

Q1 Earnings Performance Overview

The two industry giants reported earnings figures that fell sharply compared to the same period last year. Key figures include:

  • Exxon Mobil: Net income declined by 45%.
  • Chevron: Net income fell by 36%.

Despite the volatility, investor sentiment remained positive, with Exxon shares rising over 1% and Chevron shares gaining about 2% in premarket trading.

Market Context: Oil Price Volatility

Oil prices experienced extreme volatility during the quarter. Initially, prices were depressed due to market expectations of a surplus. However, following the U.S. and Israeli attacks on Iran on February 28th, prices spiked dramatically, leading to what analysts described as the largest oil supply disruption in history.

Financial Impact: Hedging Losses

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Both companies cited their financial hedging strategies as the main drag on their reported profits. Exxon Mobil specifically detailed the impact of these hedges:

  • Timing Effect: Exxon lost nearly $4 billion on open financial hedges because the value of product shipments was not counted in the quarter due to incomplete delivery.
  • Closed Hedges: The company also incurred a $700 million hit on closed hedges that were not offset by physical deliveries due to Middle East disruptions.

Exxon stated that these impacts are temporary and anticipate that the hedges will result in net profits in subsequent quarters once products are delivered.

Company-Specific Earnings Details

Exxon Mobil:

  • Reported net income of $4.2 billion ($1.00 per share), down from $7.7 billion ($1.76 per share) last year.
  • Excluding negative timing effects and other items, the company reported $1.16 per share in adjusted earnings per share.
  • Revenue reached $85.14 billion, surpassing the $82.18 billion expected by analysts.

Chevron:

  • Reported a profit of $2.2 billion ($1.11 per share), down from $3.5 billion ($2.00 per share) the previous year.
  • After adjustments, Chevron posted $1.41 per share in adjusted earnings per share, beating Wall Street estimates of 95 cents.
  • Chevron's revenue was $48.61 billion, missing estimates of $52.1 billion.

In summary, while the geopolitical situation fueled massive oil price increases, the immediate financial reporting was tempered by accounting losses related to supply chain disruptions.

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