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South Korea Braces for Worst-Case Energy Scenarios as Iran Oil Shock Deepens

South Korea has activated emergency economic measures in response to the Iran oil shock, which has closed the Strait of Hormuz and disrupted global energy supplies. The government, led by Prime Minister Kim Min-seok, formed a task force and situation room to coordinate responses across energy, economy, and financial sectors. With heavy reliance on Middle Eastern imports—70% of crude oil and 20% of LNG—the country faces significant vulnerability. Market volatility from surging energy prices has heightened inflation risks, prompting a historic fuel price cap. These steps aim to mitigate prolonged economic fallout from the Middle East conflict.

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South Korea Braces for Worst-Case Energy Scenarios as Iran Oil Shock Deepens

South Korea has intensified emergency economic planning due to the escalating Iran oil crisis, with Prime Minister Kim Min-seok warning of preparations for 'worst-case scenarios' as the Strait of Hormuz remains closed.

Government Mobilizes Emergency Task Force

  • Prime Minister Kim Min-seok announced an emergency economic task force, led by the prime minister, to coordinate cross-ministerial responses.
  • The task force will meet twice weekly across five working groups focusing on energy, macroeconomy, financial markets, household livelihoods, and overseas monitoring.
  • An emergency economic situation room will be established at the presidential office, per President Lee Jae-myung's instructions.

Energy Dependence on Middle East

  • South Korea imports approximately 70% of its crude oil and 20% of its liquefied natural gas from the Middle East.
  • The Strait of Hormuz, closed by Iran since February 28, carries one-fifth of global energy flows and is critical for South Korea's supply chains.

Market Disruptions and Inflation Risks

  • The closure has rattled global energy markets, causing price surges and reigniting inflationary pressures.
  • South Korea has imposed a fuel price cap for the first time in nearly 30 years to contain energy costs.
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