Iran is negotiating an end to the US-Israeli conflict but insists on a comprehensive settlement beyond a ceasefire, including full cessation of strikes, reparations, sanctions relief, and recognition of its Hormuz control. Tehran concerns a US withdrawal without guarantees could let Israel maintain military freedom, risking renewed war. To counter this, Iran might leverage oil prices and its Hormuz 'tollbooth' system to pressure the global economy. These geopolitical tensions have contributed to a surge in oil prices. Iran's strategy focuses on ensuring long-term security through economic and territorial leverage, highlighting the stakes in ongoing talks.
Iran is pushing for a comprehensive end to the US-Israeli conflict, warning that a mere ceasefire could lead to renewed hostilities.
Iranian leaders have outlined non-negotiable conditions for a final settlement:
Tehran fears a unilateral US exit under President Trump, without a binding agreement, could allow Israel to retain operational freedom in Iranian airspace. This mirrors post-ceasefire patterns in Gaza and Lebanon, potentially enabling future Israeli strikes and conflict recurrence.
To deter renewed aggression, Iran may:
These steps aim to secure long-term security, as current tensions have already driven oil prices higher.